Here's an interesting link I found...https://github.com/Dritte/VintageDredge/blob/master/mulliganToBazaar.py
Permalink
I'm not really sure how Serum Powder works (my math level isn't there yet) but calculating the probability of a Fluctuator being in your hand might be able to help...[This is a little math, feel free to skip to the end conclusion where I give the % chances...]So the odds of getting one particular card in a 60 card deck is 1/60.Since there are 4 Fluctuators in the deck, the odds of getting it (when you pick one random card) is 4/60, and the odds of NOT getting it is 56/60. After you picked out a card, there are clearly 59 cards left in the deck. So if the card you drew isn't the Fluctuator, the probability of NOT drawing it would be 55/59. And it goes on and on...Since your opening hand consists of 7 cards, we will find the probability of NOT getting a Fluctuator in 7 cards:(For those of you that know nCr, this might seem cumbersome, but bear with this "simplified" solution)Card #1: 56/60 (Chance of card not being Fluctuator)Card #2: 55/59Card #3: 54/58Card #4: 53/57Card #5: 52/56Card #6: 51/55Card #7: 50/54(56 x 55 x 54 x 53 x 52 x 51 x 50) / (60 x 59 x 58 x 57 x 56 x 55 x 54) = 60.05% chance that it won't be in your hand100% - 60.05% = 39.95%So there is a 39.95% probability that Fluctuator will be in your OPENING (Card x7) hand.After some math calculations....If you mull down to 3, there is an 83.38% chance that you will get a Fluctuator in your hand!I don't like mulling below 3, but if you were to mull to 1, there is an 86.50% chance that you have it in your hand.Now if you want lands to accompany that as well... The probability of having two land and a Fluctuator in your opening hand is around 52%... I think[CONCLUSION]In your opening (7 cards) hand, there is a (about) 39.95% chance of Fluctuator being in your deck.If you mull down to 3, there is an 83.33% chance that you will get a Fluctuator in your hand!If you mull down to 1, there is an 86.50% chance that you will get a Fluctuator in your hand!Disclaimer: I make a lot of math mistakes on a daily basis... this post might very well be wrong...
Okay, I added 4 cabal therapy in the deck!
Thanks for the suggestion!
Nice!I started with Worldwwake :D
No problem! Counter Magic I'm mostly relying on Muddle the Mixture. I haven't ran into Pithing Needle yet, but if I do, I will most likely sideboard Smelt. Thank you!
The oracle text actually says" 0: The next 1 damage that would be dealt to Shaman en-Kor this turn is dealt to target creature you control instead."so yes, I can activate it a ton of times.
Thanks for your suggestion!What cards should I take out and add in?
That's pretty cool, how long have you been playing Magic?
haha lolwhat's your favourite colour?
What about Sublime Archangel instead of Angelic Benediction?
I've though about Gravecrawler, but I don't think I have enough zombies out to support that.Thanks for the suggestion though :DAlso, I couldn't find your Monoblack deck... did you make it private?
I'll add Hoard-Smelter Dragon to the sideboard. Thanks!
Wow, that's really cool! I've never seen Whirling Dervish before :DThanks!
Thanks! Glad you like it!
Haha, that happens to me sometimes as well :P
Artful Dodge was originally in there, but was replaced by Aqueous Form.
Naturalize is one of the best SB cards for green
Okay, Thanks!
No problem!Glad I can help :)
341-360 of 759 items