I agree that it isn't the best card, but I need something for the big mana decks. And blood moon is a powerful answer. I have gone down to two thought scour and added a fourth probe. Painful truth gives this deck away to grind in the late game when we get into topped wars against the Junds of the format and also helps with flooding
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I don't know what your meta is like, but i would cut the glare's and one of the dispel. I would replace them with one gainsay and two last breath. I feel that gainsay can do more for you in the Mono blue match ups and can still come in against the control decks and fill the game roll as dispel. The two last breath are great against mono black, mono blue, and RDW. You have an instant against master and can remove merchant without fear of a whip bringing him back. against RDW you can takeout all of their creatures except for the fanatic and the Boros Reckoner if they are running it. P.S. I love the one of render Silent, it is also a one of in my blue white deck.